Turan Tovuz 1-0 Qabala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.19
No
47%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Qabala EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.39/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.75
-16% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Qabala
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-1 HT 1-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
25.11.2023 Qabala Qabala 4-0 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
17.09.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 0-0 Qabala Qabala AZERS
13.05.2023 Qabala Qabala 1-2 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.03.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-1 HT 1-1 Qabala Qabala AZERS
24.12.2022 Qabala Qabala 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Qabala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz edged past Qabala 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Turan Tovuz and 1.50 for Qabala.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Qabala?

Turan Tovuz 1-0 Qabala in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Qabala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 52%, draw 25%, Qabala 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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