Bolivar 4-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
84%
1.18
Draw
9%
7.13
Away
7%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
32%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
10%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
84%
Home Win
81%
+2.8pp
9%
Draw
12%
-2.6pp
7%
Away Win
7%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
2.11/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.25
+18% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
346 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 204 · 70%
31.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.4
21.9 Crosses 9.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Guabira
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.13 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
300 Passes 210
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Guabira Guabira 2-4 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
21.12.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 3-2 HT 1-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
22.09.2024 Guabira Guabira 0-3 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
09.07.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-1 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.02.2023 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
20.10.2022 Guabira Guabira 2-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
4-0
AWAY Guabira
2.00 xG 0.84
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
399 Passes 159
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
35 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar swept aside Guabira 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 68% of the ball to Guabira's 32%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 2.00 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Bolivar and 1.33 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Guabira?

Bolivar 4-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 84%, draw 9%, Guabira 7%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
13 Sep 2025
22:00 Oriente Petrolero vs Real Oruro Analysis →