Cheonan City 3-4 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
55%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
21%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
55%
Away Win
54%
+1.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheonan City EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 57%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.95/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.81
-4% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +26%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
212 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.1 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheonan City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
271 Passes 357
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2025 Cheonan City Cheonan City 3-3 HT 1-2 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
19.04.2025 Incheon United Incheon United 3-0 HT 2-0 Cheonan City Cheonan City GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheonan City
3-4
AWAY Incheon United
46% Ball Possession 54%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 1
289 Passes 379
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheonan City vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United squeezed past Cheonan City 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Cheonan City had 46% of the ball to Incheon United's 54%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cheonan City and 3.00 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Cheonan City vs Incheon United?

Cheonan City 3-4 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheonan City vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cheonan City 19%, draw 26%, Incheon United 55%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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