Gangwon 3-2 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.88
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
32.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
16%
5.55
X/2
18%
5.13
X/X
13%
3.89
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.75
2/X
7%
14.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.5 — our 7% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+3.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.39/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.82
+6% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 82%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
21.5 Crosses 17.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Seoul
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 464
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.06.2025 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 0-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
15.03.2025 Gangwon Gangwon 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
20.10.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
24.08.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 2-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
26.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
19.06.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
3-2
AWAY FC Seoul
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
299 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over FC Seoul 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Seoul at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gangwon had 49% of the ball to FC Seoul's 51%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Gangwon and 1.00 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs FC Seoul?

Gangwon 3-2 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 34%, draw 25%, FC Seoul 41%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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