Baghdad vs Diala Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Baghdad v Diala — Team-Based Signals
Diala edged past Baghdad 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Baghdad at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Baghdad vs Diala?
Baghdad 1-2 Diala in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Baghdad vs Diala?
Before kick-off our model rated a Baghdad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Baghdad 47%, draw 29%, Diala 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.