Newroz 3-2 Al Kahrabaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.18
Draw
19%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.62
Over 2.5
51%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.95
No
47%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
42%
+8.9pp
19%
Draw
29%
-9.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
58%
-9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
42%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.26/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.48
+14% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -20%
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newroz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Kahrabaa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.07.2025 Newroz 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Kahrabaa Al Kahrabaa IRAK
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz edged past Al Kahrabaa 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Newroz as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?

Newroz 3-2 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newroz win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Newroz 51%, draw 19%, Al Kahrabaa 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newroz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newroz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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