Newroz 1-1 Al Kahrabaa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.0
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.86
Over 2.5
38%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.73
No
64%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
46%
-14.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
37%
Away Win
27%
+9.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
50%
+12.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
50%
-12.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
54%
-18.1pp
64%
BTTS No
46%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kahrabaa EU Bookmakers 31%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.88/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.99
+61% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz and Al Kahrabaa shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?

Newroz 1-1 Al Kahrabaa in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Kahrabaa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kahrabaa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newroz 32%, draw 32%, Al Kahrabaa 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Kahrabaa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kahrabaa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAK More Iraq - Premier League
3 Jul 2025
19:00 Al Karkh vs Duhok Analysis →
21:30 Al Najaf vs Al Talaba Analysis →
21:30 Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Maysan Analysis →