Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4-2 Naft Maysan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.09
No
68%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
44%
-12.0pp
68%
BTTS No
56%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Maysan EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.77/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.50
+12% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Naft Maysan
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.02.2024 Naft Maysan Naft Maysan 0-4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Al Quwa Al Jawiya IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Maysan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Quwa Al Jawiya got the better of Naft Maysan 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Quwa Al Jawiya as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Maysan?

Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4-2 Naft Maysan in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Naft Maysan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Quwa Al Jawiya 53%, draw 23%, Naft Maysan 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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