Al Karkh 2-4 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Jul 2025

📅03/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.82
Over 2.5
37%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.73
No
61%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
51%
+11.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
49%
-11.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
54%
-15.1pp
61%
BTTS No
46%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.67/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.81
+41% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Duhok beat Al Karkh 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Karkh at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Duhok?

Al Karkh 2-4 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 41%, draw 28%, Duhok 31%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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