Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

Ghazl El Mehalla
1-1 HT 0-0
Al Mokawloon
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2025/2026

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.7
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.41
Over 2.5
43%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
6.17
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
34%
-5.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
67%
-10.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
33%
+10.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ghazl El Mehalla v Al Mokawloon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mokawloon EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.80/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.19
-24% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
21.8 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Mokawloon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.02 xG 1.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
274 Passes 234
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2023 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
20.10.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
22.07.2022 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 1-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
15.02.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
25.08.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon MSR
14.03.2021 Al Mokawloon Al Mokawloon 0-1 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Al Mokawloon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
1-1
AWAY Al Mokawloon
1.47 xG 2.26
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
166 Passes 262
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
13 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla and Al Mokawloon couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ghazl El Mehalla at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 42% of the ball to Al Mokawloon's 58%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 1.47 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Mokawloon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.33 for Al Mokawloon.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon?

Ghazl El Mehalla 1-1 Al Mokawloon in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Mokawloon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 41%, draw 28%, Al Mokawloon 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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