Haras El Hodood 2-1 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
37%
2.77
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.33
No
59%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
1.83
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
11%
6.51
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.8pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.7pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.4pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
39%
+2.5pp
59%
BTTS No
61%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.98/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/0.67
+38% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 72%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.9 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haras El Hodood
2W-1D-0L
AWAY El Gounah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.83 xG 1.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
212 Passes 312
63% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.01.2025 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
30.10.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
09.02.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haras El Hodood
2-1
AWAY El Gounah
0.94 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
223 Passes 222
73% Pass Accuracy 70%
10 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haras El Hodood vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood nicked a narrow win over El Gounah 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 37% / 39% — and on the day Haras El Hodood made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Haras El Hodood had 49% of the ball to El Gounah's 51%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.94 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Haras El Hodood and 1.00 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Haras El Hodood vs El Gounah?

Haras El Hodood 2-1 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haras El Hodood vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated an El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Haras El Hodood 24%, draw 37%, El Gounah 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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