El Gounah 0-1 Haras El Hodood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
2.7
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.4
No
72%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
50%
1.79
2-3 Goals
33%
1.82
4-5 Goals
11%
6.98
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.79 — our 50% vs market 46.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
33%
-7.7pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.7pp
28%
BTTS Yes
38%
-9.3pp
72%
BTTS No
62%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Haras El Hodood EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
1.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
+11% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
284 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.0 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Haras El Hodood
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.12 xG 0.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
362 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.10.2020 El Gounah El Gounah 1-2 HT 1-1 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood MSR
09.02.2020 Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 2-2 HT 1-1 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
0-1
AWAY Haras El Hodood
0.89 xG 0.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
261 Passes 105
69% Pass Accuracy 47%
26 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haras El Hodood edged past El Gounah 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was El Gounah at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (72%) came in.

On the day, El Gounah had 63% of the ball to Haras El Hodood's 37%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 0.89 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Haras El Hodood led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Gounah and 2.00 for Haras El Hodood.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood?

El Gounah 0-1 Haras El Hodood in the Egypt - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Haras El Hodood?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 42%, draw 26%, Haras El Hodood 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Gounah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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31 Jan 2025
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