Ismaily 1-2 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 31 Jan 2025

📅31/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.66
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.4
No
63%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+1.4pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-1.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
38%
-0.9pp
63%
BTTS No
62%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ismaily EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.10/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.07
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
274 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
18.6 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ismaily
0W-3D-3L
AWAY El Geish
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.87 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 252
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSRK
14.05.2024 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 0-0 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
05.11.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 2-3 HT 1-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
08.06.2023 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
18.01.2023 El Geish El Geish 1-1 HT 1-1 Ismaily Ismaily MSR
30.08.2022 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ismaily
1-2
AWAY El Geish
0.39 xG 2.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
256 Passes 287
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 16
9 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ismaily vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Geish edged past Ismaily 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day El Geish made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ismaily had 48% of the ball to El Geish's 52%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.39 to 2.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold El Geish's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Geish led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ismaily and 1.33 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Ismaily vs El Geish?

Ismaily 1-2 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 31/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ismaily vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Ismaily 33%, draw 33%, El Geish 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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