Bendel Insurance 1-0 Niger Tornadoes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
9%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
26%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
59%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
9%
Away Win
14%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.37/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.59
-13% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bendel Insurance
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Niger Tornadoes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2025 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance 3-0 HT 1-0 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes NIJ
29.09.2024 Niger Tornadoes Niger Tornadoes 1-1 HT 0-0 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance NIJ
POST-MATCH Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bendel Insurance nicked a narrow win over Niger Tornadoes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bendel Insurance as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bendel Insurance had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bendel Insurance and 0.50 for Niger Tornadoes.

What was the final score of Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?

Bendel Insurance 1-0 Niger Tornadoes in the Nigeria NPFL on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bendel Insurance vs Niger Tornadoes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bendel Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bendel Insurance 67%, draw 24%, Niger Tornadoes 9%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bendel Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bendel Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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