Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Bendel Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.38
Over 2.5
33%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
3.05
No
65%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.7pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
29%
+6.1pp
65%
BTTS No
71%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niger Tornadoes EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Bendel Insurance EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.45/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.45/1.57
-11% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 167 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niger Tornadoes
1-1
AWAY Bendel Insurance
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Niger Tornadoes vs Bendel Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niger Tornadoes and Bendel Insurance couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Niger Tornadoes at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Niger Tornadoes had 56% of the ball to Bendel Insurance's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

What was the final score of Niger Tornadoes vs Bendel Insurance?

Niger Tornadoes 1-1 Bendel Insurance in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niger Tornadoes vs Bendel Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niger Tornadoes win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Niger Tornadoes 53%, draw 31%, Bendel Insurance 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Niger Tornadoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niger Tornadoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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