Katsina United 3-0 Lobi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.38
Over 2.5
48%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.53
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
51%
+1.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
20%
Away Win
20%
-0.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
69%
-17.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
31%
+17.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.8pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katsina United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lobi Stars EU Bookmakers 23%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.94/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.73
+52% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -28%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katsina United
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lobi Stars
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
18.07.2021 Katsina United Katsina United 1-1 HT 1-1 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars NIJ
28.02.2021 Lobi Stars Lobi Stars 2-1 HT 1-0 Katsina United Katsina United NIJ
POST-MATCH Katsina United vs Lobi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katsina United swept aside Lobi Stars 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katsina United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lobi Stars led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Katsina United and 1.50 for Lobi Stars.

What was the final score of Katsina United vs Lobi Stars?

Katsina United 3-0 Lobi Stars in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katsina United vs Lobi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katsina United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Katsina United 53%, draw 28%, Lobi Stars 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katsina United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Katsina United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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