Bayelsa United 1-1 Kwara United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Sep 2024

Bayelsa United
1-1 HT 0-0
Kwara United
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2024/2025

Bayelsa United vs Kwara United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.4pp
32%
Draw
25%
+7.0pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayelsa United v Kwara United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayelsa United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kwara United EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.39/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.49
-15% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0

Bayelsa United vs Kwara United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayelsa United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kwara United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
13.03.2024 Kwara United Kwara United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bayelsa United Bayelsa United NIJ
POST-MATCH Bayelsa United vs Kwara United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayelsa United and Kwara United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Bayelsa United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?

Bayelsa United 1-1 Kwara United in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayelsa United vs Kwara United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayelsa United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bayelsa United 48%, draw 32%, Kwara United 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayelsa United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayelsa United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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