Shooting Stars 1-0 Heartland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
51%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shooting Stars EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Heartland EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.94/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.43/1.94
+21% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shooting Stars
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Heartland
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
19.04.2024 Heartland Heartland 1-0 HT 1-0 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars NIJ
03.12.2023 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 0-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
02.02.2022 Shooting Stars Shooting Stars 4-0 HT 0-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Shooting Stars vs Heartland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shooting Stars nicked a narrow win over Heartland 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shooting Stars as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Shooting Stars and 0.33 for Heartland.

What was the final score of Shooting Stars vs Heartland?

Shooting Stars 1-0 Heartland in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shooting Stars vs Heartland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shooting Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Shooting Stars 54%, draw 29%, Heartland 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shooting Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shooting Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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