Abia Warriors 2-0 Kano Pillars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
34%
3.64
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.1pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abia Warriors EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kano Pillars EU Bookmakers 20%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.31/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.49
-20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
331 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 189 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abia Warriors
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kano Pillars
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.03.2021 Abia Warriors Abia Warriors 4-1 HT 2-1 Kano Pillars Kano Pillars NIJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abia Warriors
2-0
AWAY Kano Pillars
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Abia Warriors vs Kano Pillars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abia Warriors got the better of Kano Pillars 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Abia Warriors as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Abia Warriors had 46% of the ball to Kano Pillars's 54%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Abia Warriors vs Kano Pillars?

Abia Warriors 2-0 Kano Pillars in the Nigeria NPFL on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abia Warriors vs Kano Pillars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Abia Warriors win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Abia Warriors 47%, draw 33%, Kano Pillars 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Abia Warriors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Abia Warriors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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