Sivasspor 1-0 Sarıyer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
3.32
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.57
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 35% vs market 24.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.79
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.35
X/1 EV+ ✓
24%
4.64
X/2
10%
6.93
X/X
14%
4.81
2/1
7%
24.1
2/2
11%
5.13
2/X
8%
14.1
Value flag · X/1 at 4.64 — our 24% vs market 16.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 32%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.77/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.64
+93% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sivasspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sarıyer
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.12.2004 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Sarıyer Sarıyer T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sivasspor
1-0
AWAY Sarıyer
0.54 xG 0.57
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
364 Passes 300
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sivasspor vs Sarıyer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sivasspor edged past Sarıyer 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sivasspor as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sivasspor had 53% of the ball to Sarıyer's 47%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.54 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Sivasspor vs Sarıyer?

Sivasspor 1-0 Sarıyer in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sivasspor vs Sarıyer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sivasspor win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sivasspor 47%, draw 27%, Sarıyer 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sivasspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sivasspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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