İstanbulspor 4-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Sep 2025

İstanbulspor
4-0 HT 2-0
Ümraniyespor
📅13/09/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.19
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.68
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.25
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
19%
4.12
X/2
7%
8.9
X/X
10%
4.91
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.65
2/2
13%
7.27
2/X
6%
15.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.65 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.6pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.83/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.48
+33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.7 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.01 xG 1.03
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.02.2025 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-1 HT 1-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
14.09.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
07.06.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
15.01.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-2 HT 0-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
15.01.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.08.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L

İstanbulspor 4-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
4-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
1.34 xG 0.21
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
269 Passes 391
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 12
9 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor ran out comfortable winners over Ümraniyespor 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 43% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 57%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.34 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for İstanbulspor and 0.67 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor?

İstanbulspor 4-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 53%, draw 22%, Ümraniyespor 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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