Ümraniyespor 2-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Feb 2025

Ümraniyespor
2-1 HT 1-1
İstanbulspor
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Ümraniyespor vs İstanbulspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.02
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.12
X/2
14%
5.58
X/X
12%
4.73
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
14%
3.47
2/X
10%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.9pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ümraniyespor v İstanbulspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.26/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.32
+12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
17.3 Crosses 18.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.7

Ümraniyespor vs İstanbulspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ümraniyespor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.01 xG 2.08
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 390
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.09.2024 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
07.06.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
15.01.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-2 HT 0-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
15.01.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.08.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
06.02.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L

Ümraniyespor 2-1 İstanbulspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ümraniyespor
2-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.39 xG 1.05
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
227 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ümraniyespor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ümraniyespor edged past İstanbulspor 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Ümraniyespor found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Ümraniyespor had 37% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 63%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.39 to 1.05.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ümraniyespor and 2.00 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Ümraniyespor vs İstanbulspor?

Ümraniyespor 2-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ümraniyespor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ümraniyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ümraniyespor 37%, draw 29%, İstanbulspor 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ümraniyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ümraniyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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