MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MKE Ankaragücü v Fatih Karagümrük — Team-Based Signals
MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
MKE Ankaragücü
TSL
0-2
HT 0-1
Fatih Karagümrük
TSL
4-1
HT 2-0
MKE Ankaragücü
TSL
0-1
HT 0-0
MKE Ankaragücü
TSL
MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük — Actual Match Statistics
Fatih Karagümrük nicked a narrow win over MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was MKE Ankaragücü at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 51% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 49%, shots finished 3-10, expected goals 0.18 to 2.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fatih Karagümrük's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.67 for Fatih Karagümrük.
What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük?
MKE Ankaragücü 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük?
Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 44%, draw 24%, Fatih Karagümrük 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) went the other way.