MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Jan 2024

📅24/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.55
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.11
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
22%
4.46
X/2
8%
6.35
X/X
16%
3.98
2/1
5%
30.0
2/2
9%
5.09
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.44/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.56
-6% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.6 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.15 xG 1.62
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
371 Passes 385
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 1-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
04.02.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 0-2 HT 0-1 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
27.08.2022 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 4-1 HT 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
07.03.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 HT 0-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
08.11.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-2 HT 1-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
24.01.2016 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 1-1 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MKE Ankaragücü
2-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.68 xG 0.41
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
268 Passes 446
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü got the better of Fatih Karagümrük 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MKE Ankaragücü as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, MKE Ankaragücü had 39% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 61%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.68 to 0.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MKE Ankaragücü and 1.67 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük?

MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MKE Ankaragücü vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split MKE Ankaragücü 46%, draw 29%, Fatih Karagümrük 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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