Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Jan 2024

Antalyaspor
2-1 HT 2-1
Sivasspor
📅24/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.4
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
12%
13.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 30% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
13%
3.83
X/2
8%
10.2
X/X
17%
5.08
2/1
12%
23.45
2/2
8%
8.11
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.2pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Antalyaspor v Sivasspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sivasspor EU Bookmakers 22%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.38/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.58
-14% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
382 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
20.3 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antalyaspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sivasspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.77 xG 1.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
326 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Sivasspor Sivasspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
24.04.2023 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
31.10.2022 Sivasspor Sivasspor 0-2 HT 0-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
06.03.2022 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL
16.10.2021 Sivasspor Sivasspor 2-2 HT 2-2 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor TSL
07.04.2021 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 2-4 HT 1-2 Sivasspor Sivasspor TSL

Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antalyaspor
2-1
AWAY Sivasspor
2.18 xG 1.22
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
482 Passes 201
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
37 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antalyaspor squeezed past Sivasspor 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Antalyaspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Antalyaspor had 66% of the ball to Sivasspor's 34%, shots finished 25-9, expected goals 2.18 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Antalyaspor and 1.50 for Sivasspor.

What was the final score of Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor?

Antalyaspor 2-1 Sivasspor in the Turkey - Super League on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antalyaspor vs Sivasspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antalyaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Antalyaspor 46%, draw 33%, Sivasspor 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antalyaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antalyaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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