Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Başakşehir FK v Fenerbahçe — Team-Based Signals
Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 3-0
Başakşehir FK
TSL
2-0
HT 2-0
Başakşehir FK
TÜK
1-2
HT 1-0
Fenerbahçe
TSL
1-0
HT 0-0
Başakşehir FK
TSL
0-1
HT 0-0
Başakşehir FK
TSL
2-0
HT 1-0
Fenerbahçe
TSL
Başakşehir FK 0-1 Fenerbahçe — Actual Match Statistics
Fenerbahçe nicked a narrow win over Başakşehir FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Başakşehir FK had 34% of the ball to Fenerbahçe's 66%, shots finished 4-28, expected goals 0.57 to 3.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fenerbahçe's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.50 for Fenerbahçe.
What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe?
Başakşehir FK 0-1 Fenerbahçe in the Turkey - Super League on 24/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Fenerbahçe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 23%, draw 23%, Fenerbahçe 54%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.