İstanbulspor 3-0 Ümraniyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

İstanbulspor
3-0 HT 1-0
Ümraniyespor
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 27% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.56
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.48
X/2
14%
7.78
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
8%
5.53
2/X
6%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İstanbulspor v Ümraniyespor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ümraniyespor EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -15%
1.42/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.54
-10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.9 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İstanbulspor
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ümraniyespor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.99 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.06.2023 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor TSL
15.01.2023 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 0-2 HT 0-2 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor TSL
15.01.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
22.08.2021 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 2-0 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
06.02.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 2-3 HT 0-1 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor T1L
26.09.2020 Ümraniyespor Ümraniyespor 1-3 HT 0-1 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L

İstanbulspor 3-0 Ümraniyespor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İstanbulspor
3-0
AWAY Ümraniyespor
3.02 xG 0.26
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
293 Passes 390
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor swept aside Ümraniyespor 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had İstanbulspor as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İstanbulspor had 44% of the ball to Ümraniyespor's 56%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 3.02 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İstanbulspor had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İstanbulspor and 1.00 for Ümraniyespor.

What was the final score of İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor?

İstanbulspor 3-0 Ümraniyespor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İstanbulspor vs Ümraniyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İstanbulspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split İstanbulspor 48%, draw 24%, Ümraniyespor 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İstanbulspor), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İstanbulspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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