Sakaryaspor 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 35% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.66
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
12%
4.27
X/2
6%
7.3
X/X
17%
4.74
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
15%
5.58
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.7pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.7pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
0.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.24
-1% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.1 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 0.65
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
462 Passes 166
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.04.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 HT 2-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
03.11.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
04.03.2018 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
15.10.2017 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 HT 1-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
05.09.2010 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
2-0
AWAY Şanlıurfaspor
1.55 xG 0.78
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 449
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor saw off Şanlıurfaspor 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Sakaryaspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 41% of the ball to Şanlıurfaspor's 59%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.55 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.00 for Şanlıurfaspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Sakaryaspor 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 40%, draw 33%, Şanlıurfaspor 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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