Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.82
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
11%
13.8
X/1
11%
5.34
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
5.31
X/X
7%
4.33
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.79
2/X
8%
13.75
Value flag · X/2 at 5.31 — our 22% vs market 14.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
37%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
46%
Away Win
36%
+9.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 40%
-25% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
0.98/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.27
-63% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
26.6 Crosses 15.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.56 xG 1.03
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
188 Passes 453
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 4
03.11.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
04.03.2018 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 4-0 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
15.10.2017 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 HT 1-2 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
05.09.2010 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 2-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
2-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
0.74 xG 0.68
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
144 Passes 472
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor saw off Sakaryaspor 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sakaryaspor at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 29% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 71%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.74 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 2.25 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 2-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 29%, draw 26%, Sakaryaspor 46%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sakaryaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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