Boluspor 1-2 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

Boluspor
1-2 HT 0-0
Gençlerbirliği
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Boluspor vs Gençlerbirliği Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.77
6+ Goals
9%
27.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.49 — our 38% vs market 33.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.64
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.92
X/2
14%
5.57
X/X
14%
3.95
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
17%
4.31
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.3pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boluspor v Gençlerbirliği — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.21/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.18
-16% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
360 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
21.3 Crosses 16.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8

Boluspor vs Gençlerbirliği Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
366 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
21.01.2023 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 5-1 HT 3-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
19.08.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 1-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
19.02.2022 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 1-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
25.09.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
02.04.2019 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-1 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L

Boluspor 1-2 Gençlerbirliği — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
1-2
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.94 xG 1.55
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 Passes 249
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği squeezed past Boluspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gençlerbirliği found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 61% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 39%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.94 to 1.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gençlerbirliği led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.67 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Boluspor 1-2 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 33%, draw 30%, Gençlerbirliği 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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