Manisa FK 0-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 35% vs market 31.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.39
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
13%
5.77
X/2
14%
4.89
X/X
14%
4.1
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.47
2/X
5%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.6pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.37/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.98
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
16.8 Crosses 13.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Bodrum FK
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.85 xG 1.12
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
336 Passes 184
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
08.03.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
18.09.2022 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
27.11.2016 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-2 HT 2-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S3-2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.52 xG 0.37
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
242 Passes 341
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK squeezed past Manisa FK 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Bodrum FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manisa FK had 44% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 56%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.52 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Manisa FK and 1.50 for Bodrum FK.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK?

Manisa FK 0-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 37%, draw 28%, Bodrum FK 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manisa FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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