Keçiörengücü 1-2 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

Keçiörengücü
1-2 HT 1-2
Çorum FK
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.06
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.69
X/2
11%
5.16
X/X
12%
4.4
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
17%
3.54
2/X
9%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Keçiörengücü v Çorum FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
18.3 Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Çorum FK
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.77 xG 3.16
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
269 Passes 378
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 2-3 HT 2-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L

Keçiörengücü 1-2 Çorum FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
1-2
AWAY Çorum FK
0.30 xG 1.27
45% Ball Possession 55%
4 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
295 Passes 371
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 11
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK nicked a narrow win over Keçiörengücü 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and on the day Çorum FK made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 45% of the ball to Çorum FK's 55%, shots finished 4-12, expected goals 0.30 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK?

Keçiörengücü 1-2 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 31%, draw 30%, Çorum FK 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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