Bandırmaspor 0-1 Amed SK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.99
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
17.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.22
1/2
7%
33.5
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
9%
4.73
X/2
13%
5.98
X/X
11%
4.56
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
14%
4.44
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Amed SK EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.10/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.88
-19% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
21.4 Crosses 11.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Amed SK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
21.01.2016 Amed SK Amed SK 3-3 HT 1-3 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor TÜK
16.12.2015 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Amed SK Amed SK TÜK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
0-1
AWAY Amed SK
0.52 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
396 Passes 278
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Amed SK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amed SK squeezed past Bandırmaspor 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Amed SK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 58% of the ball to Amed SK's 42%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.52 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Amed SK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Bandırmaspor and 2.50 for Amed SK.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Amed SK?

Bandırmaspor 0-1 Amed SK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Amed SK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 38%, draw 28%, Amed SK 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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