Fatih Karagümrük vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Fatih Karagümrük v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Fatih Karagümrük vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Fatih Karagümrük 0-1 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Kasımpaşa came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Fatih Karagümrük 1-0 on their travels.
Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Kasımpaşa found the edge the numbers couldn't.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 46% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.85, roughly 54%.
Under the surface, possession split 72% to 28% in Fatih Karagümrük's favour, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.79 to 0.59.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.33 a game for Fatih Karagümrük against 1.50 for Kasımpaşa.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Kasımpaşa Result & Final Score
Fatih Karagümrük 0 - 1 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Fatih Karagümrük vs Kasımpaşa Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 32%, draw 30%, Kasımpaşa 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kasımpaşa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.