Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 13 Oct 2024

Liverpool (K)
1-2
Manchester City (K)
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
63%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+5.1pp
17%
Draw
19%
-2.0pp
62%
Away Win
66%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.2pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
+70% / +70% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 421 · 83%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.73 xG 1.93
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
214 Passes 549
68% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 27
10 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-4 HT 0-3 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
01.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
31.03.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
04.11.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.05.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
11.02.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL

Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-2
AWAY Manchester City (K)
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) nicked a narrow win over Liverpool (K) 2-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 24% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 76%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.33 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-2 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 20%, draw 17%, Manchester City (K) 62%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5
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