Liverpool (K) 1-4 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

Liverpool (K)
1-4 HT 0-3
Manchester City (K)
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
15%
4.81
Away
68%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
4%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
12%
+4.3pp
15%
Draw
17%
-2.4pp
68%
Away Win
70%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool (K) v Manchester City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -34%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
254 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.0
– Crosses 18.0
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool (K)
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.82 xG 2.18
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
227 Passes 511
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.12.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
31.03.2019 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
04.11.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
08.05.2018 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL
11.02.2018 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
03.06.2017 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Manchester City (K) Manchester City (K) İNKPL

Liverpool (K) 1-4 Manchester City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-4
AWAY Manchester City (K)
0.46 xG 1.20
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
244 Passes 539
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) cruised past Liverpool (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 35% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 65%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 0.46 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City (K) led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Liverpool (K) and 2.17 for Manchester City (K).

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-4 Manchester City (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 17%, draw 15%, Manchester City (K) 68%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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