Aston Villa (K) 2-2 Leicester City WFC (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.53
No
57%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
61%
-18.4pp
57%
BTTS No
39%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
19.01.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
2-2
AWAY Leicester City WFC (K)
1.55 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) and Leicester City WFC (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa (K) at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 53% of the ball to Leicester City WFC (K)'s 47%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.55 to 1.20.

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 2-2 Leicester City WFC (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Leicester City WFC (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 50%, draw 22%, Leicester City WFC (K) 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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30 Mar 2024
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