Marino De Luanco 2-0 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.84/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.41
-31% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
0W-2D-0L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
28.01.2024 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 2-2 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
17.09.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-1 HT 0-1 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
2-0
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marino De Luanco beat RC Deportivo Fabril 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Marino De Luanco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 44% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 56%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.50 for RC Deportivo Fabril.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Marino De Luanco 2-0 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 39%, draw 28%, RC Deportivo Fabril 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marino De Luanco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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