La Union Atletico 1-0 UD San Fernando — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
32%
-6.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Union Atletico EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY UD San Fernando EU Bookmakers 33%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.55/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.77
-55% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
POST-MATCH La Union Atletico vs UD San Fernando
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Union Atletico squeezed past UD San Fernando 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had La Union Atletico as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of La Union Atletico vs UD San Fernando?

La Union Atletico 1-0 UD San Fernando in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Union Atletico vs UD San Fernando?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Union Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split La Union Atletico 42%, draw 26%, UD San Fernando 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Union Atletico), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Union Atletico) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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