Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Compostela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Compostela EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.72/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.07
+35% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Compostela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.01.2024 Compostela Compostela 3-1 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
07.01.2023 Compostela Compostela 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-1
AWAY Compostela
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Compostela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria nicked a narrow win over Compostela 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rayo Cantabria as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 57% of the ball to Compostela's 43%, shots finished 13-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Compostela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 2.00 for Compostela.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Compostela?

Rayo Cantabria 2-1 Compostela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Compostela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 42%, draw 28%, Compostela 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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