AC Milan (K) 1-0 Sampdoria (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.29
Over 2.5
61%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
17%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
72%
-6.5pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Milan (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.52/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.95
-12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
477 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.7 Crosses 10.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Milan (K)
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.46 xG 0.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
323 Passes 208
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
43 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
18.05.2024 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) 3-1 HT 2-0 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
21.04.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
14.02.2024 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-3 HT 1-1 AC Milan (K) AC Milan (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Milan (K)
1-0
AWAY Sampdoria (K)
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH AC Milan (K) vs Sampdoria (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AC Milan (K) edged past Sampdoria (K) 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AC Milan (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AC Milan (K) had 71% of the ball to Sampdoria (K)'s 29%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AC Milan (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for AC Milan (K) and 1.00 for Sampdoria (K).

What was the final score of AC Milan (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

AC Milan (K) 1-0 Sampdoria (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Milan (K) vs Sampdoria (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a AC Milan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split AC Milan (K) 66%, draw 18%, Sampdoria (K) 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AC Milan (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AC Milan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
13 Oct 2024
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