Dominika 1-6 Bermuda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
53%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
53%
Away Win
54%
-0.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dominika EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Bermuda EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dominika vs Bermuda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bermuda swept aside Dominika 6-1 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bermuda as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Dominika vs Bermuda?

Dominika 1-6 Bermuda in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dominika vs Bermuda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bermuda win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dominika 26%, draw 21%, Bermuda 53%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bermuda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bermuda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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