13/10/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Bahamalar vs US Virgin Adaları Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
22%
Draw
20%
23%
Away Win
16%
43%
Under 2.5
31%
57%
Over 2.5
69%
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
51%
BTTS No
39%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bahamalar v US Virgin Adaları — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bahamalar
EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY
US Virgin Adaları
EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-31% /
-31%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
+4%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
18
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
3
380 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0
–
Crosses
7.0
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
Bahamalar vs US Virgin Adaları Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bahamalar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
US Virgin Adaları
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
1.99
xG
1.32
68%
Ball Possession
32%
16
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
6
8
Corners
5
364
Passes
124
84%
Pass Accuracy
63%
16
Box Touches
23
22
Crosses
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bahamalar vs US Virgin Adaları
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bahamalar got the better of US Virgin Adaları 3-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bahamalar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bahamalar vs US Virgin Adaları?
Bahamalar 3-1 US Virgin Adaları in the CONCACAF Champions League on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bahamalar vs US Virgin Adaları?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bahamalar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bahamalar 55%, draw 22%, US Virgin Adaları 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahamalar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bahamalar)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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13 Oct 2024