Andorra 2-0 San Marino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
3.05
No
56%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
6.75
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
62%
-14.8pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.8pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
29%
+15.5pp
56%
BTTS No
71%
-15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Andorra EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY San Marino EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -6%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
447 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 5.0
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Andorra
2W-0D-0L
AWAY San Marino
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.40 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
319 Passes 210
75% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 9
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2021 San Marino San Marino 0-3 HT 0-1 Andorra Andorra DKE
02.09.2021 Andorra Andorra 2-0 HT 2-0 San Marino San Marino DKE
POST-MATCH Andorra vs San Marino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Andorra beat San Marino 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Andorra as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Andorra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Andorra and 0.00 for San Marino.

What was the final score of Andorra vs San Marino?

Andorra 2-0 San Marino in the Friendlies on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Andorra vs San Marino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Andorra 47%, draw 30%, San Marino 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Andorra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Andorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HAZ More Friendlies
13 Oct 2024
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