ABD 2-0 Panama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
ABD win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-8.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama EU Bookmakers 18%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.96/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.62
+27% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
21.8 Crosses 13.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Panama
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.74 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
335 Passes 382
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2024 Panama Panama 2-1 HT 1-1 ABD ABD AKU
13.07.2023 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
28.03.2022 ABD ABD 5-1 HT 4-0 Panama Panama DKE
11.10.2021 Panama Panama 1-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD DKE
16.11.2020 ABD ABD 6-2 HT 3-1 Panama Panama HAZ
27.06.2019 Panama Panama 0-1 HT 0-0 ABD ABD GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
2-0
AWAY Panama
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
479 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH ABD vs Panama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD beat Panama 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had ABD as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, ABD had 55% of the ball to Panama's 45%, shots finished 11-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for ABD and 1.17 for Panama.

What was the final score of ABD vs Panama?

ABD 2-0 Panama in the Friendlies on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Panama?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split ABD 56%, draw 23%, Panama 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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