Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Vukovar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.09
No
49%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
29%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.4pp
43%
Away Win
43%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.5pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vukovar EU Bookmakers 48%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.77
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +97% / -41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Vukovar
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 2-0 HT 1-0 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
18.02.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1-0
AWAY Vukovar
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs Vukovar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci edged past Vukovar 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Vukovar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 37% of the ball to Vukovar's 63%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Vukovar led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.50 for Vukovar.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs Vukovar?

Croatia Zmijavci 1-0 Vukovar in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs Vukovar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 31%, draw 26%, Vukovar 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vukovar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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