Vukovar 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.45
Draw
32%
3.94
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.82
Over 2.5
40%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
65%
-19.6pp
32%
Draw
22%
+9.8pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
51%
+8.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
49%
-8.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vukovar EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 16%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.78/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+5% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vukovar
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
18.02.2024 Vukovar Vukovar 1-1 HT 0-1 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vukovar
2-0
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vukovar saw off Croatia Zmijavci 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vukovar as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Vukovar had 51% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 49%, shots finished 20-4.

What was the final score of Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Vukovar 2-0 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vukovar vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vukovar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vukovar 45%, draw 32%, Croatia Zmijavci 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vukovar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vukovar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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