Jarun 1-3 Bijelo Brdo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-2.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.3pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jarun EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.28/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.46
-15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 6.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jarun
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 1
5 Yellow Cards 6
23.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 2-2 HT 0-1 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo HIR2
30.09.2023 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 0-0 HT 0-0 Jarun Jarun HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jarun
1-3
AWAY Bijelo Brdo
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo got the better of Jarun 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Jarun at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jarun had 57% of the ball to Bijelo Brdo's 43%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jarun and 1.00 for Bijelo Brdo.

What was the final score of Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Jarun 1-3 Bijelo Brdo in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jarun vs Bijelo Brdo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jarun win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jarun 44%, draw 21%, Bijelo Brdo 35%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jarun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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