MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
MVV Maastricht v VVV-Venlo — Team-Based Signals
MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
2-1
HT 0-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
0-5
HT 0-4
VVV-Venlo
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
MVV Maastricht
HOL2
MVV Maastricht 2-0 VVV-Venlo — Actual Match Statistics
MVV Maastricht saw off VVV-Venlo 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had MVV Maastricht as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, MVV Maastricht had 43% of the ball to VVV-Venlo's 57%, shots finished 10-21.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, VVV-Venlo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MVV Maastricht and 1.83 for VVV-Venlo.
What was the final score of MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo?
MVV Maastricht 2-0 VVV-Venlo in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo?
Before kick-off our model rated a MVV Maastricht win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split MVV Maastricht 43%, draw 26%, VVV-Venlo 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MVV Maastricht) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.