La Equidad 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.44
Over 2.5
31%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
66%
+2.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
34%
-2.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -11%
1.02/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.03
-22% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
17.0 Crosses 14.4
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Junior
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.76 xG 0.93
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
278 Passes 272
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.03.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
20.08.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
26.02.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
17.07.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
18.03.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 La Equidad La Equidad CON CSA
11.03.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
1-0
AWAY Junior
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
169 Passes 322
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad nicked a narrow win over Junior 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 35% / 29% — and on the day La Equidad made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, La Equidad had 38% of the ball to Junior's 62%, shots finished 13-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for La Equidad and 0.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Junior?

La Equidad 1-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 36%, draw 35%, Junior 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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